A reader pointed out to me this week that the personal computer is well over 30 years old — a number that has real consequence if you are familiar with my work. He remembered I predicted in 1992 that PCs as we knew them would be dead by now. I was obviously a little off in my timing. But only a little off. PCs are still doomed and their end will come quicker than you think.
Here’s what I wrote in my book Accidental Empires in 1992:
It takes society thirty years, more or less, to absorb a new information technology into daily life. It took about that long to turn movable type into books in the […]
If 2010 was the year of cloud computing that means 2011 is the year we’ll actually start using it in earnest. That further means 2011 will be the year that cloud computing lets us down. Everything in IT fails eventually, though the big myth is that won’t happen with cloud computing. Hogwash.
