Prediction #4: Motorola buys TiVO

Posted on January 3rd, 2012 by Robert X. Cringely – 54 Comments

What’s going to happen with TiVO?  The pioneering Digital Video Recorder company is still in business with around a million subscribers and it has lately been settling patent infringement cases with big companies like Echostar and — just this week — with AT&T, but the longer term prospects for the company are dim. Yes, they’ll [...]

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Prediction 3: Intel buys Qualcomm

Posted on January 2nd, 2012 by Robert X. Cringely – 59 Comments

The dominant theme in this set of predictions for 2012 is the mobile conversion as we abandon our desktops for mobile devices and the Cloud. Intel, while the dominant maker of microprocessors, doesn’t have a strong product position in mobile. Worse still, the company has a leadership vacuum and a culture that has not adapted [...]

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Prediction #2: Amazon and Bezos supplant Apple and Jobs

Posted on January 2nd, 2012 by Robert X. Cringely – 106 Comments

If Apple gives up its position of industry leadership in 2012 the only company capable of assuming that role is Amazon.com. What other company is there?  In the PC space giants like HP and Dell are good followers, not leaders. Intel doesn’t even see itself in such a leadership role. Microsoft is having trouble just [...]

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Prediction #1: A new CEO for Apple

Posted on January 2nd, 2012 by Robert X. Cringely – 88 Comments

2012 will be a year of great transition in the technology industry with the big changes coming more on the corporate level than in products. Sure, Windows 8 is on its way as are any number of new products, services, and whole companies, but the major story playing-out is who will lead the mobile transition?  [...]

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What hath Bob wrought? Looking back at Cringely’s 2011 predictions

Posted on January 2nd, 2012 by Robert X. Cringely – 28 Comments

Uh-oh, it’s almost time for my annual technology predictions but, as usual, I will begin by taking a look at my predictions from a year ago, which I fear were pretty dismal. Why I’m the only pundit to voluntarily go through this agony I don’t know, but a cursory look shows that I missed with [...]

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There’s no time like anytime

Posted on December 29th, 2011 by Robert X. Cringely – 84 Comments

This Christmas I added a Windows server to our home network because my kids were finding some favorite programs were unplayable over their RDP (Remote Desktop Protocol) thin clients. So I bought a very inexpensive Windows 7 desktop and for $89 at Walmart added Microsoft’s Anytime Upgrade to Windows 7 Professional, which is needed to [...]

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Like shooting ducks in a barrel

Posted on December 27th, 2011 by Robert X. Cringely – 48 Comments

Fourteen years ago I gave a speech to the National Association of State and Provincial Lotteries at their annual meeting, held that year in Minneapolis. They gave me a hand-carved wooden duck decoy that’s on my bookshelf today. My topic was this thing called the Internet and what it would mean to state lotteries and [...]

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Why big companies can’t change

Posted on December 20th, 2011 by Robert X. Cringely – 89 Comments

There’s a very good TED Talk by Simon Sinek about how great leaders inspire companies by asking why?  I think it also goes a long way toward explaining why big companies don’t handle change well.  It’s not that they can’t ask why?, it’s that the answer doesn’t make sense at their scale, though it should. [...]

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For Mobile OS’s, Three’s a Crowd

Posted on December 20th, 2011 by Robert X. Cringely – 93 Comments

I was speaking recently at a software company very interested in mobile apps. One of their concerns had to do with which operating systems to support.  Should they do them all?  Just a couple? My advice was that three’s a crowd. Technical markets tend to divide like bettors at the racetrack where five percent win, [...]

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The once and future WebOS

Posted on December 14th, 2011 by Robert X. Cringely – 50 Comments

WebOS, first from Palm and then from Hewlett Packard, came and went so fast most mobile software developers never even got a chance to play with it. Now HP has declared WebOS to be Open Source, placing the project (it’s really not a product anymore) under CEO Meg Whitman to show they haven’t totally given [...]

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